martes, 22 de febrero de 2011

¿Alguien duda todavía que no será China, nuestro próximo gran cliente?


De verdad, alguien se plantea todavía que China y los países emergentes no serán en un futuro nuestro principal cliente?

Son muchas las interpretaciones que algunos analistas de occidente negativizan apuntalándose en la incertidumbre de este país, su desmesurado crecimiento que no contempla las políticas sociales, las insuficientes inversiones en infraestructuras para las zonas rurales o urbanas deprimidas, o su sistema político, pero en realidad no son más que hipótesis que a quien se las cree, sólo le sirven para no aprovechar las oportunidades que este país ofrece, y que los más innovadores , que ya lo saben, las están aprovechando para apuntalar su crecimiento y prepararse para una economía globalizada que sabemos que se repite, como la historia, y que les permitirá en un futuro aprovechar nuevos escenarios como el que estamos en China, pero en otros países como Sudáfrica, Oriente Medio, Brasil, etc...

No se trata de aprovechar el "chollo emergente"; se tata de tener una actitud, una organizació y un posicionamiento abiertos e innovadores, que nos permitan con facilidad, flexibilidad y una alta rentabilidad adaptarnos a las oportunidades que la economía de estos países y sus consumidores nos ofrecen.

Desde Marketeasing , conocemos al detalle las necesidades de una empresa que desea abordar este nuevo posicionamiento, y ofrecemos una infraestructura en el país destino para poder iniciar la diversificación de las empresas con el mínimo riesgo e inversión.

---------------- Inicio del artículo ------------------

Las contradicciones de occidente sobre china. ¿Deseamos realizar lecturas negativas?

¿Cual es la interpretación para la empresa española?

Las noticias que difundimos en el mundo occidental sobre el crecimiento de China tienden a intentar la apertura de un debate acerca del futuro del país.

Que por un lado el año 2010 se haya cerrado con un crecimiento previsible del 10 %, y se espere un 9,3 % para el 2011, y por otro se quiera interpretar la reducción del crecimiento al 7,9 % en el 2015, según previsiones del Banco Mundial, es una mala noticia ?

Lo que desea saber el empresariado es la viabilidad de su proyecto empresarial en China ?, sin duda hay que debatir poco si lo que deseamos saber sí de verdad todavía existen oportunidades en el país de las maravillas (o el país de los retos difíciles).

Es mi opinión es que las empresas occidentales con ideas innovadoras, apertura mental, capacidad de adaptación, y con ganas de aprender y crecer deben seguir persistiendo y
acelerando sus proyectos en China. Y sí no los tienen no deben perder un minuto en plantearlos.
Pero ya va siendo hora de que se den prisa, ya que : Deben aprender a competir lo antes posible con las empresas chinas, ya que ellas crecen y Occidente cada día les interesa más.
Su mercado crece, cosa que no ocurre en los mercados occidentales, que se van despertando de las crisis financiera lentamente. Concretamente en España todavía estamos sumidos en el más profundo de los letargos.

En cuanto antes las empresas entren en la dinámica de los negocios en China, estarán preparadas para entrar y competir en los nuevos mercados emergentes.

Que nadie dude que la fuerza productiva y comercial arrolladora de las empresas chinas
nos la vamos a encontrar en todo el mundo.

Un mercado que crece permite nuevos espacios de posicionamiento que en el mundo Occidental resultan más costosos. Nadie cede cuota de mercado con retroceso en el consumo, a ningún precio.

Esperar es morir. Ya nada a ser como lo hemos conocido en el mundo Occidental. Las viejas reglas en el mundo de los negocios se van desvanecido.

No va haber más de lo mismo, sino nuevas dinámicas empresariales en el mundo de los
negocios que vendrán generadas por la cultura china.

Que importancia puede tener para la empresa española productiva, que la economía China crezca el 9,7 %, el 10 %, o un teórico descalabro del 7,9 % para el 2015, CON LA QUE ESTÁ CAYENDO EN CASA?

martes, 15 de febrero de 2011

China: Una balanza comercial que cada vez se acerca más a su equiibrio


Este mes de Enero, el superávit comercial de China ha presentado mínimos históricos, conun incremento de las impoirtaciones del 51% versus un 37,7% de las exportaciones.

Cada vez más la demanda interna hace de este país uno de los mayores consumidores y por lo tanto, mercado objetivo de las empresas del mundo, pero sobretodo de las Europeas, su mayor proveedor, por delante de USA.

-----------

9-month low ushers in falling surplus era

By Wang Xing (China Daily)
Updated: 2011-02-15 09:01

Increased imports, rising prices behind January's 53.5% decline

BEIJING - China's trade surplus will continue to fall in the coming months after hitting a nine-month low in January amid increased imports in the run-up to the lunar new year holidays and surging commodity prices, economists said.

The surplus fell 53.5 percent to $6.46 billion last month, the General Administration of Customs said on its website on Monday. Exports rose 37.7 percent to $150.73 billion from a year earlier while imports climbed 51 percent to $144.27 billion.

The surplus figures came hours after Tokyo confirmed China had surpassed Japan to become the world's second biggest economy.

Economists said the trade situation is challenging as the uncertain economic outlook for major economies, including the United States, Japan and the European Union, poses difficulties for China's exports.

"The trend shows that China's trade surplus is in decline," said Huo Jianguo, director of the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, under the Ministry of Commerce.

China's trade surplus has narrowed in recent months as the government has tried to reduce its reliance on exports by boosting imports and domestic consumption after the world economic slowdown.

"As long as China's imports grow faster than exports, China's trade surplus problem will be solved in the next few years," said Huo.

China's annual surplus figure may drop below $100 billion in the next two to three years, he said.

The lower-than-estimated trade surplus is also expected to ease pressure from the US for greater yuan appreciation as a way of addressing the trade imbalance between the two countries.

Analysts said strong consumer demand before the Spring Festival pushed up imports.

"We believe the New Year contributed to increasing imports," said Chang Jian, an analyst from Barclays Capital.

The value of China's foreign trade in January rose 43.9 percent year-on-year to $295.01 billion, the customs said on Monday. Imports and exports rose as businesses accelerated shipments in advance of the two-week holiday period, it said.

Higher commodity prices have also played a big role in boosting the cost of China's imports, as prices for raw materials such as iron ore and copper are at, or close to, record highs.

According to figures from the customs, the price of iron ore, one of China's major imports, surged 66.1 percent to $151.4 per ton last month. The price of imported soya also increased 20.4 percent to $558.1 per ton.

"We expect world commodity prices to remain high and that will push up the cost of China's imports in the coming months," said Lu Zhiming, an analyst from the Bank of Communications.

He estimated China's trade surplus this year will drop to $150 billion, from $183.1 billion last year.

The value of trade between China and the EU, the country's largest trading partner, increased 30.5 percent year-on-year to $45.97 billion in January, according to customs figures, while the value of Sino-US trade increased 39.2 percent year-on-year to $36.87 billion.

China emerged as the leading market for US agricultural exports, according to statistics released by the US Department of Agriculture on Feb 11. But figures from the US Department of Commerce on the same day also showed that the deficit with China rose 20.4 percent last year.

Source: China Daily - http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2011-02/15/content_12010526.htm

Caution as economy overtakes Japan's


Interesting reading about the Growth of China economy.

Estimates, goals and fears of rapid growth on an inadequate social security services infrastructure, rural regions development and human resources investment.

In the last year the China's economy overtakes Japan's, but the China's renta per capita GPD is only about 10 percent of Japan's.

However in the next 10 years, 200 million Chinesse people will move into cities , with a potential to add 20 trillion yuan to the economy, increasing their economical capabilities.
--------------

Caution as economy overtakes Japan's

By Li Woke and Wang Xing (China Daily)
Updated: 2011-02-15 09:18

BEIJING - China still has a long way to go to improve its economy, despite formally overtaking Japan as the world's second largest economy, experts said.

Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) reached $5.47 trillion last year, compared to $5.88 trillion for China, Japan's Cabinet Office said on Monday.

Japan became the world's second largest economy, after the United States, in 1968 on the back of its post-war recovery.

China overtook Germany in 2007 to become the world's third biggest economy.

"It is not a surprise that China overtook Japan," said Lu Zhengwei, senior economist with the Shanghai-based Industrial Bank.

However, economists pointed out that China's per capita GDP was only about 10 percent of Japan's.

"We should not overestimate our GDP figure as China's population is 1.3 billion, 10 times bigger than Japan's," said Yi Xianrong, economist at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a top think tank.

China's per capita GDP was about $4,300 in 2010, and income levels have been falling behind economic growth for years.

Ma Jiantang, head of the National Bureau of Statistics, said in January that the country has a huge population, a weak economic foundation, few resources and many people are mired in poverty.

"Therefore, while we take note of our expanding economic size and strength, we should also soberly understand that China remains a developing nation."

The World Bank estimates that more than 100 million Chinese people - nearly the size of Japan's entire population - live on less than $2 a day.

The China Youth Daily described China's expansion as an "empty happiness" as the country's economic development was at the expense of cheap labor and environmental degradation, while the quality of life, including education, social security and healthcare, still lags far behind developed countries.

Yuan Gangming, research fellow at the Center for China in the World Economy at Tsinghua University, said that in the next three to five years, China is likely to maintain a growth rate between 8 and 10 percent.

However, for an improved quality of life and healthy, sustained growth, the country must invest more in areas such as human resources, the underdeveloped western regions, and social security, he said.

Zheng Xinli, permanent vice-chairman of China Center for International Economic Exchanges, also said the country should continue its reforms and improve its economic structure to avoid the "middle-income trap".

The term was coined by the World Bank to describe stagnation in a country when its per capita GDP reached $3,000.

"In the past 30 years, China developed because of reform and opening-up. In the coming two decades, we need more reforms to further unleash the potential of development," he said.

He predicted urbanization will be the biggest driving force for China's economy.

One person moving into a city can create economic value of 100,000 yuan, he said. In the next 10 years, 200 million Chinese people will move into cities and towns, with a potential to add 20 trillion yuan to the economy over the decade, he estimated.

Sustained economic growth in China also helps other economies in the world, including Japan.

The Japanese Economic and Fiscal Policy Minister Kaoru Yosano said: "We welcome China's economic advancement as a neighboring country," according to Kyodo News.

Japan's economy has benefited from China's rapid growth, initially as businesses shifted production here to take advantage of lower costs, and as local incomes rose, by tapping an increasingly lucrative market for Japanese goods.

Source: China daily - http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2011-02/15/content_12010939.htm

jueves, 3 de febrero de 2011

Barcelona and China join forces to promote the design and fashion sector


This strengthening of relationships with the Asian country is to lead to the creation of a logistical centre in Barcelona for Shanghai-based textile companies.

To experience first-hand the potential of Barcelona's design sector and pursue potential agreements with local designers. This was the aim of the delegation of 18 Chinese businessmen who visited Barcelona on the 17th January. The visit, promoted by the Barcelona City Council and Barcelona Design Centre (BCD), and coordinated by Shanghai National Design Center, is the result of a series of actions carried out over the last few months to strengthen business relationships between the city and the Asian country.

The visit included a presentation of the city of Barcelona as international design capital, a guided tour with Barcelona Design Tour, including some of the most notable buildings from the 22@ district, and a tour of the most iconic clothes shops in the city.

In keeping with the spirit of the visit of Chinese businessmen, and with the aim of boosting the city's fashion and design sector, Barcelona Council recently sealed an agreement with the municipal government of Wenzhou for the creation of a logistics centre for textile companies from the Shanghai area.

Source: Barcelona city council.


Barcelona leads the way for Spanish exports in 2010


Its figures represent 20.5% of the total and demonstrate Barcelona's power as a driving force of the economy.

Barcelona heads the Spanish exports ranking. According to the latest report from the Barcelona City Council's Commission for Economic Promotion, Employment and Knowledge, 20.5% of the Spanish state's exports over the course of 2010 came from the province of Barcelona. The report also states that a 16.9% increase in exports during the first eleven months of the year, which represented 34,927.25 million euros worth of revenue, helped the Catalan economy grow by 4.3%.

Specifically, the increase in exports is believed to have been driven by a rise in sales to emerging economies such as South Africa (+68.4%), Brazil (+49%) and China (+32.6%). Furthermore, the technology sector accounted for some 59% of these exports.

Leaders in entrepreneurship

The City Council report also reflects the strength of entrepreneurial activity in Barcelona, which established itself over 2010 as the Spanish urban area with the highest number of start-ups, with a ratio of 3.2 new companies per 1000 residents. During the first eleven months of the year, 14% of the new businesses set up in Spain were established in the province of Barcelona.

Source: Barcelona city council.

miércoles, 2 de febrero de 2011

Les exportacions catalanes a la Xina augmenten un 34,6%


Segons les darreres dades de comerç exterior de la nota de conjuntura econòmica de l'Octubre del 2010, es confirma que la Xina, junt amb Oceania, Japó i Suïssa, són els països a on les empreses catalanes han incrementat més la seva activitat exportadora.

Això constata que les empreses catalanes estan començant a veure el mercat extracomunitari com un mercat d'oportunitats per incrementar les seves vendes, enlloc de refugiar-se en un mercat intracomunitari que encara no mostra símptomes globals de recuperació.

Són cada vegada més les empreses que aposten pels països d'economia emergents , per expandir la seva activitat i recuperar les pèrdues acumulades dels darrers anys.

Per sectors d'activitats, variació en % de Gen a Agost 2010 vs mateix periode de 2009 :

Aliments -1,2
Productes energètics 45,0
Matèries primeres 50,4
Semimanufactures no químiques 28,6
Productes químics 22,7
Béns d'equipament 13,7
Sector automòbil -19,3
Béns de consum durador 48,0
Manufactures de consum 11,9
Altres 40,2
Total 15,4


martes, 1 de febrero de 2011

Barcelona, inside top 5 list of european cities to do business


HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE FINDINGS

The leading cities for business

■ London, Paris and Frankfurt remain the top three cities for business. The top two cities are still comfortably ahead of the nearest challengers, although Frankfurt sees its score improve.

■ Brussels moves back into fourth place ahead of Barcelona with an improved score over the year.

■ This year Vienna is the biggest mover, rising up the ranking by six places to 22nd place. Düsseldorf breaks into the top 10 for the first time, moving up by five places. As a result, German cities account for four of the top ten cities.

Key factors in deciding where to locate

■ The top four factors remain some way ahead in terms of their importance. Easy access to markets, customers or clients remains the most essential factor for the second year running. Availability of quality staff is the second most essential factor, closely followed by Quality of
telecommunications which edges further ahead of Transport links with other cities and internationally.

■ London is the top rated city in seven of the 12 major rankings, including Transport links with other cities and internationally, Ease of travelling within the city, Easy access to markets, customers or clients and Availability of quality staff and Quality of telecommunications and
Languages spoken.

■ Warsaw regains first place in terms of the Cost of staff, whilst Leeds retains first position for Value for money of offices.

■ Dublin again comes top for the Climate created by government, while both Barcelona and Berlin retain the top position for Quality of life, and Availability of office space respectively. Stockholm jumps two places to become the best city in terms of Freedom from pollution.3
Impact on business

■ The factor most likely to impact on business over the next five years is Opportunities from emerging markets for products and services. With concerns regarding an ageing population across Europe, Demographic and workforce change is the second highest ranked factor.

■ It has been a tough year for corporates across the region. Almost two thirds are more positive than a year ago, with 18% of respondents a lot more positive than 12 months ago.

Company expansion

■ Companies are still expecting to expand across Europe over the next five years, and the number of companies anticipating expansion is greater than last year.

■ Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) remains the most popular part of the region, with Moscow replacing Warsaw as the city expected to see the largest influx between 2010-15.

■ The number of corporates anticipating global expansion is up on 12 months ago and the focus is primarily on the BRIC economies. Shanghai and New Delhi are the most popular global destinations, closely followed by São Paulo. Beijing moves back up the ranking, and along
with Mumbai, complete the top five most popular destinations.

City promotion

■ London and Paris retain their positions as the best known cities in Europe. Brussels moves into third place, ahead of Barcelona with Frankfurt completing the top five. The proportion of those cities that are known very or fairly well improved marginally this year, with nine cities being known very or fairly well by at least half the companies sampled.

■ Berlin is viewed as the city doing the most to improve itself, jumping from third in 2009. It has overtaken Barcelona and London, although both see a higher rating than in 2009. Madrid maintains fourth place and Paris moves ahead of Prague into

Best cities to locate a business today
London is still the leading city in which to do business, with a similar score to 2009. Paris remains in second place and Frankfurt in third, with the gap between second and third
place closing slightly. Brussels regains fourth place from Barcelona, while Amsterdam moves back up the ranking to sixth place. This year the most impressive rise in the rankings is seen by Vienna, increasing six places to 22nd.

Düsseldorf moves up from 15th to 10th over the year, while Manchester also advances four places from 16th to 12th.

This year both Edinburgh and Bratislava are new cities to the ranking, and they are ranked 27th and 32nd respectively.

Top 10 list

Location Rank Score
London 1 0.85
Paris 2 0.55
Frankfurt 3 0.36
Brussels 4 0.29
Barcelona 5 0.27
Amsterdam 6 0.25
Berlin 7 0.24
Madrid 8 0.22
Munich 9 0.22
Düsseldorf 10 0.14